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Simulations per run
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NBA teams covered
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Prop types available
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Auto-refreshed picks
Features
Builtfordisciplinedbettors
Every simulation is grounded in real game logs and adjusted for context. No black boxes.
10,000 Monte Carlo
Simulations
We run 10,000 simulated game outcomes using real NBA historical performance data — not gut feelings or generic models.
Context-Aware
Opponent defense, back-to-back fatigue, teammate availability — all shift the projection in real time.
Fair Odds
Model estimate — not a guarantee of true probability.
Full Distribution
Every percentile, volatility label, and histogram of all 10,000 outcomes.
Smart Picks
Simulation-ranked picks refreshed daily
No Vig Pricing
See what the line should cost without the book's margin baked in.
How it works
Fromlinetoanalysisinseconds
Pick a game & player
Select any upcoming NBA game and search for any player.
Set your prop
Enter the line (e.g. over 27.5 points) and adjust context toggles.
Run the simulation
10,000 outcomes computed in seconds using real historical data.
Read the results
Hit rate, fair odds, full distribution, and a plain-English breakdown of what drives the projection.
Beta Access
Freewhilewe'reinbeta
Get full access to every feature — no credit card, no limits, no catch. Just sign up.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
A Monte Carlo simulation runs thousands of random trials based on a player's real game log data, matchup context, and situational factors. PickScope runs 10,000 trials per prop to estimate how likely a player is to go over or under a given line.
PickScope's accuracy depends on the quality and recency of data. Our model factors in opponent defense, home/away splits, back-to-back fatigue, and game environment. We publish accuracy stats on every pick so you can judge for yourself.
We pull real NBA game logs via the official NBA API, combine them with opponent defensive ratings, Vegas game totals, and player-specific situational splits like home/away and back-to-back performance.
Yes — PickScope has a free forever plan that includes 5 simulations per day. The Pro plan unlocks unlimited simulations, Smart Picks, parlay builder, bankroll tracking, and full history.
PickScope currently supports points, rebounds, and assists props for all 30 NBA teams. We also offer moneyline analysis for head-to-head game outcomes.
Smart Picks are recomputed automatically every 5 minutes using the latest lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, and other major sportsbooks via The Odds API.